{"id":20293,"date":"2025-01-09T14:00:35","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T17:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/?p=20293"},"modified":"2025-01-09T13:55:32","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T16:55:32","slug":"top-risks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/livros\/top-risks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Top Risks 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"TopIan Bremmer, Cliff Kupchan<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Eurasia Group<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

R\u00e9sum\u00e9:<\/strong><\/span> From a certain perspective, 2025 looks extraordinary. If we encountered our planet today as an alien species, without fear or favor, what would we see? A growing population of eight billion people in the midst of unprecedented expansion and growth; staggering opportunities after tens of thousands of years of stagnation.
\nEven looking at the geopolitical headlines, we can work up some optimism about 2025. The major wars that dominated the past year are receding. Three years after Russia invaded Ukraine and attempted to overthrow its leadership, negotiations (and even a possible ceasefire) appear close. So, too, in the Middle East, after more than a year of fighting in Gaza and beyond, there\u2019s less stomach or purpose for expanding the violence. And in the United States, a hotly contested presidential election led to an undisputed winner with a clear mandate and almost nobody claiming it was unfree, unfair, or stolen.
\nBut take a closer look and we\u2019ve got big problems.
\nThe United States and China, the two most powerful countries in the world by a wide margin, assertively reject responsibility for the rest of the planet. They cast an eye at enemies first and foremost within their own borders and worry increasingly over threats to their own stability. Both are informed by political and economic value systems focused on the short term, despite the increasingly obvious reality that they\u2019re not working for most of their people\u2014especially the increasingly disillusioned youth.
\nA \u201ccommunity of nations\u201d is today the stuff of fairy tales, with governance that isn\u2019t meeting the needs of citizens. Our challenges are global, whether those related to climate, technology, the economy, or national security. They can\u2019t be solved without far stronger international cooperation than is thought desirable or would be feasible with the institutions that exist today. And the political actors most essential to strengthening global institutions are moving in the other direction.
\nWe are heading back to the law of the jungle. A world where the strongest do what they can, while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must. And the former\u2014whether states, companies, or individuals\u2014can\u2019t be trusted to act in the interest of those they have power over.
\nIt\u2019s not a sustainable trajectory.<\/p>\n

\"T\u00e9l\u00e9charger\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ian Bremmer, Cliff Kupchan Eurasia Group R\u00e9sum\u00e9: From a certain perspective, 2025 looks extraordinary. If we encountered our planet today as an alien species, without fear or favor, what would we see? A growing population of eight billion people in the midst of unprecedented expansion and growth; staggering opportunities after tens of thousands of years of stagnation. Even looking at the geopolitical headlines, we can work up some optimism about… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":20294,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51,6,19,112],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english","category-livros","category-risco-e-perdas","category-download"],"views":257,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20293"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20293\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20295,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20293\/revisions\/20295"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20294"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bibliotecadeseguranca.com.br\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}